West Kazakhstan Region • Region is located in the east of the country. As of January 1, 2012 the area is 151.3 thousand square kilometers, the region's population is 612.6 thousand people. Density of population over the region per 1 km is 4.0 people. • Resource base includes rich reserves of gas and gas condensate, oil, borate ores, oil shares, potassium and magnesium salts, lime rock, cement materials, chalk-stone, expanded clay, building and alluvial sand. • Administrative-territorial structure of the region includes the regional center - Uralsk, Aksai city, 12 districts, 4 villages, 472 auls. • The main socio-economic indicators of the region for 2011 are provided in the table. Demography: Region’s population is not stable, however, it increased from 2000 to 2011 from 609 to 613 thousand people, haven’t reached the maximum in 2008: thousand people 615 615 605 600 Population, thousand people 613 612 609 607 602 600 602 609 608 604 604 598 595 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 151.3 5.6 4.0 6.1 612.6 3.7 Share in total RK area, % Index level in RK Share in total RK population, % 2011 Economically active population employed hired labor unemployed Monthly average nominal salary, Tenge Nominal population income (estimation), average per capita a month, Tenge Compared to previous year in % GRP, billion Tenge 620 610 As of January 1, 2012 Area, thousand square kilometers Density for 1 square kilometer CPI (end of period), by December of previous year in % Volume of industrial product, billion Tenge Agriculture total output (services), billion Tenge Fixed asset investment, billion Tenge Retail trade, billion Tenge 333.5 315.9 189.5 17.6 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.7 87503 90028 48739 45435 107.3 117.2 1257.4 4.6 107.1 107.4 1480.7 9.3 82.8 3.6 170.0 3.4 107.8 2.8 Share in total RK EAP, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Index level in RK Index level in RK Level in RK Share in total RK GRP, % Index level in RK Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in RK index, % Share in total RK index, % 1 Economically active population (EAP) EAP of the region is increasing at a moderate pace and in 2011 it reached 333.5 thousand people. 315.9 thousand people of them are employed, 17.6 thousand people – unemployed. Economically inactive population made up 146.3 thousand people, it is lower than the level in 2000: The number of employed population increases and unemployed population falls in both absolute and relative terms. For 10 years, from 2001 to 2011, the employed population has increased from 88 to 95%, while the number of unemployed has fallen from 13 to 5%. Characteristic feature of the employed population dynamics is the growth of hired labor and the reduction of selfemployed people. From 2001 to 2011 the number of hired labor increased from 55% to 60%, the number of selfemployed people fell from 45 to 40%. EAP and employed people structure corresponds to the average in Kazakhstan: Labor Force Economically active population Economic Including: ally Employed thousand inactive including: people Unemploy populatio ed Hired Selfn labor employed 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 114.7 130.2 131.3 138.7 145.5 147.9 147.8 146.9 148.4 151.9 146.3 326.2 301.7 314.5 319.8 319.7 321.3 327.5 332.1 333.9 334.4 333.5 40.8 30.2 29.4 29.3 28.7 27.6 25.5 23.5 21 18.8 17.6 285.5 271.6 285.1 290.4 290.9 293.7 302 308.5 313 315.6 315.9 157.4 160.2 166.8 169.4 170 173.5 180.1 185.9 188.2 189.9 189.6 128.1 111.4 118.3 121 120.9 120.1 121.9 122.6 124.8 125.7 126.3 EAP Structure in 2001 EAP Structure in 2011 13% 5% Unemploy ed 88% Employed Employed Population Structure in 2001 95% Employed Population Structure in 2011 Hired labor 45% 40% 55% Selfemployed 60% 2 Unemployment Level 75 Kazakhstan – 5.4 14 12.5 74 12 73 9.3 9.2 10 9.0 8.6 7.8 7.8 7.1 70 8 6.3 5.6 5.3 69 68 6 4 5.6 Астана City of Astana 5.8 5.2 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 5.4 5.2 Павлодарская Pavlodar 5.7 South Kazakhstan Южно-Казахстанская Mangistau Мангистауская 5.8 5.5 Kyzylorda Кызылординская Kostanay Костанайская 5.4 Karaganda Карагандинская 5.3 Zhambyl Жамбылская 67 2 66 65 Алматы City of Almaty Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 10.0 72 71 • In 2011 unemployment rate of WKR region was below the average in Kazakhstan – 5.4%: The changes of employed population structure are supported by a strong tendency of unemployment rate reduction from maximum 12.5% in 2001 to 5.3% in 2011 and poor increase in economic activity of the population: 67 74 70 71 70 69 69 69 69 69 69 70 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Economic activity rate, % Unemployment rate, % 5.5 West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 5.3 Atyrau Атырауская 0 5 Almaty Алматинская 5.1 Aktobe Актюбинская 4.9 Akmola Акмолинская 5.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 % 3 Quality of Life Life expectancy at birth in the region is increasing, and equals the average in Kazakhstan in general: number of years Some of life quality indicators in 2011: 70.0 69.0 68.0 67.0 66.0 65.5 65.8 66.0 65.8 66.2 65.9 66.2 66.3 65.0 64.0 63.0 WKR 68.3 68.4 69.0 65.3 65.1 64.9 65.0 66.5 66.5 66.6 66.2 Child mortality for 1000 quick-born 11,93 14,84 67.1 67.3 68.8 68.2 68.4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Share of population with income used for consumption below the poverty line is 2011 it was below the average in RK: decreasing and in % 60 46.7 44.5 37.5 40 30 20 10 0 0 17,4 Number of TB cases registered for the first time, 100,000 86,1 86.8 47.5 51.4 34.2 33.9 31.6 33.2 33.9 Mortality for 1000 people RK 18.2 12.7 12.1 8.2 6.5 Monthly average in tenge West Kazakhstan region 50 Maternal mortality for 100,000 quick-born Birth rate for 1000 people 62.0 RK 15,211 16,000 14,000 11,629 11,904 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,815 6,882 7,682 6,000 4,000 4.8 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 West Kazakhstan region RK 0 6.7 8,71 18,000 2,000 8.2 9,72 Cost of living has been growing steadily since 2003, but the value is below the average in RK: 5.3 13.2 10.3 10.2 19,48 22,50 6,457 6,785 2003 8,480 9,284 8,410 12,894 16,072 13,487 12,660 12,364 9,653 7,618 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 West Kazakhstan region 2009 RK 2010 2011 4 84 82 80 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 75.4 76.9 78.9 78.2 78.7 77.3 72.5 79.3 79.9 79.7 75 77.6 76 6. 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.3 4.4 5. 75.4 74.9 80.1 The number of children in regular preschools has significantly increased since 2001: 75.3 75.3 4.3 25 000 5.6 4.7 4. 72.9 73.6 79.8 4.9 15 000 3. 81.7 2. 9 026 10 226 10 915 9 982 8 580 1. 7 615 13 607 23 176 10 000 21 818 5 000 11 060 . West Kazakhstan region RK West Kazakhstan region 30,000 5.7 5.7 25,000 5.1 5.0 4.4 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.0 17,918 3.0 2.0 1.0 16,218 19,286 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.4 20,000 20,341 15,000 24,670 26,348 26,485 10,000 25,989 21,971 26,016 5,000 0.0 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 West Kazakhstan region Share in RK people 6.0 % % 7.0 0 20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011 The umber of students in technical and vocational education is increasing: 20 000 Share in RK The number of students in higher education has been growing steadily since 2008: 6.0 35,000 5.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.2 27,286 2.0 16,566 30,378 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.9 30,000 4.1 4.3 4.6 25,000 20,000 31,172 25,985 30,168 26,047 27,902 1.0 people % people Enrollment share of the population aged 6-24 years has increased from 2001 and the values exceed the average in RK significantly: % Enrollment 15,000 31,023 28,260 0.0 10,000 5,000 0 20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011 West Kazakhstan region Share in RK 5 Population Income г. Алматы City of Almaty Астана City ofг.Astana Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan Павлодарская Pavlodar South Kazakhstan Южно-Казахстанская 121674 132612 100000 73677 61712 80000 151041 20000 81518 67252 165975 67638 64495 50000 100000 9293 31868 36145 123451428715313 35513 1787317864 41238 45422 23816 150000 160 149.1 150 141.8 140 132.8 79878 0 20124 2712229876 38718 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 87503 Aktobe Актюбинская Akmola Акмолинская 50242 40198 Среднемесячная номинальная заработная плата одного работника Оценка номинальных денежных доходов населения в среднем на душу 61825 Atyrau Атырауская Almaty Алматинская 69455 0 77940 Zhambyl Жамбылская West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 87503 59362 40000 67721 Kostanay Костанайская Karaganda Карагандинская 80101 60000 75338 Mangistau Мангистауская Kyzylorda Кызылординская Tenge Kazakhstan – 90,028 In the dynamics the average nominal salary per employee and the average nominal income per capita are ever-growing. Monthly average nominal salary per employee for 2011 is 87,503 Tenge, that is below the country’s average – 90,028 Tenge: 200000 Tenge The index of the nominal and real incomes showed a decline in 2006, during the crisis year 2009. In 2006 the growth of nominal income was less than the consumer price index, i.e. revenue growth did not cover inflation: % 130 120 110 100 90 129.7 133.3 115.7 125.8 128.5 116.7 110.0 107.2 122.5 109.799.9 107.3 106.4 104.7 101.6 105.7106.4 101.6 92.4 107.8 80 117.3 109.0 116.4 109 107.4 109.9 109.5 101.7 107.2 107.1 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Consumer price index The index of nominal income The index of real income 6 Economy • GRP growth in 2011 is slightly below the average growth of total GRP of all regions of Kazakhstan and makes up 126.2% compared to 2010, against the total value of RK - 126.4%: 1,400.0 7 6.1 1,200.0 1,324 5.3 4.6 1,000.0 5.0 4.7 5.2 4.8 4.55 4.8 4.8 4.8 6 5 4.4 800.0 4 827 600.0 823 1,049 3 618 512 400.0 357 2 1 118 150 178 201 0.0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 GRP Region's share in total GRP Growth of total GRP in RK – 126.4 г. Almaty Алматы City of 124.8 Астана City ofг.Astana 117.9 Восточно-Казахстанская East Kazakhstan 130.6 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 143.0 Павлодарская Pavlodar 148.0 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 125.1 Мангистауская Mangistau 117.9 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 120.4 Костанайская Kostanay 132.5 Карагандинская Karaganda 401 200.0 region's share in total GRP (%) bln. tenge • GRP is growing steadily, its share in total GRP of all regions increased from 4.6% in 2000 to 4,8% in 2011 : 128.0 Жамбылская Zhambyl Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan Атырауская Atyrau Алматинская Almaty Актюбинская Aktobe Акмолинская Akmola 142.1 126.2 121.2 124.9 125.9 138.1 0 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 7 Investment bln. tenge • Fixed assets investment doesn’t show stable dynamics. The values have been decreasing since 2009: 300 5 010 4,585 4,211 4654 250 200 5,000 4,000 3,392 150 2,825 2,421 198 6,000 245 234 1,704 226 100 131 1,328 186 943 1,100 596 50 125 89 92 107 167 170 Growth in Kazakhstan in general – 107.7 City ofг.Алматы Almaty 3,000 City of г.Астана Astana 2,000 East Kazakhstan Восточно-Казахстанская 1,000 0 • The growth of fixed assets investment in 2011 exceeded significantly the average level in all RK regions and made up the negative value of 73% compared to the previous year, against 107.7% in general in RK: 0 104.3 144.3 167.0 Северо-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan 134.7 Павлодарская Pavlodar 112.0 Южно-Казахстанская South Kazakhstan 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 104.0 Мангистауская Mangistau West Kazakhstan region RK 99.3 Кызылординская Kyzylorda 89.9 Костанайская Kostanay • The share of fixed assets investment in the Kazakhstan’s level of investment has fallen significantly from 22.1% in 2000 to 3.4% in 2011: % 25 20 15 10 5 22.1 17.7 124.7 Карагандинская Karaganda 119.9 Жамбылская Zhambyl 72.6 Западно-Казахстанская West Kazakhstan 73.0 Атырауская Atyrau 18.0 97.4 Алматинская Almaty 9.4 121.6 Актюбинская Aktobe 5.2 3.8 3.8 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.0 3.4 105.9 Акмолинская Akmola 114.9 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 50 100 150 200 % compared to previous year 8 Agriculture bln. tenge The volume of production in agriculture was increasing until 2008. In 2010 the value was 52.8 billion Tenge: 70 1,641.4 60 1,404.5 1,800 1,600 1,442.6 1,400 50 1,089.4 40 825.6 615.4 30 20 557.4 533.6 402.0 10 0 763.8 698.9 52.8 52.2 24.2 30.2 25.3 West Kazakhstan region RK 0.1 City of Astana г. Астана East Kazakhstan Восточно-Казахстанская North Kazakhstan Северо-Казахстанская 0.1 1,000 South Kazakhstan Южно-Казахстанская 800 10.6 11.6 4.2 11.4 Mangistau Мангистауская 0.3 Kyzylorda Кызылординская 600 Kostanay Костанайская 400 Karaganda Карагандинская 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 City of г. Almaty Алматы Pavlodar Павлодарская 200 22.9 of the region’s volume of in agriculture in total volume of industry’s production up 3.7% of country’s agricultural 1,200 40.7 21.7 15.0 58.7 • The share production Kazakhstan’s in 2010 made production: 3.1 14.8 5.8 Zhambyl Жамбылская 4.7 West Kazakhstan Западно-Казахстанская 3.7 Atyrau Атырауская 1.3 Almaty Алматинская 15.1 Aktobe Актюбинская 5.7 Akmola Акмолинская 7.5 0 5 10 15 20 % of total 9 Real Sector The growth of industrial production volumes was observed throughout the study period, excluding crisis year 2009, when mining industry showed a decrease: 1,480.7 1,400 1,345 bln. tenge 1,600 1,200 800 501.7 600 400 200 0 990.1 961.3 1,000 81.0 260.6 110.8 223 88.1 77.8 10 23 30 596.8 13 860 721.1 61 Millio Share in Shar n RK level e in Tenge 2010 GRP 825.1 882 74 23 25 29 107 83 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mining industry output Manufacturing output Electricity, gas and water production and distribution Industrial production 81 billion Tenge • The share of industrial production in the Kazakhstan’s level has increased from 4.5% in 2000 to 9.3% in 2011: 16 13.8 14 12 9.6 8 6 4 2 0 11.9 10.8 10 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.0 13.3 8.2 9.3 6.7 4.5 3.9 3.8 3.4 3.9 1.9 1.9 3.3 3.4 2.5 2.1 2.4 • Real sector industries with the highest values of production in 2010 are production of crude oil and natural gas, construction, manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, and other mining industries and etc. These industries have significant share of total production in the Republic of Kazakhstan and region’s GRP: 3.0 2.2 2.8 Crude oil and natural gas production 857 446 13.8 81.8 Construction 80 776 4.2 7.7 Agriculture 52 808 3.7 5.0 28 371 3.1 2.7 25 423 3.0 2.4 Other mining industries 24 250 5.5 2.3 Maintenance in mining industry 24 088 6.6 2.3 Coke industry and refined petroleum products 22 740 6.8 2.2 Machine industry 10 877 2.9 1.0 Metallurgic industry and production of finished metal products 7 078 0.4 0.7 Production of food products, beverages and tobacco Production and distribution of electricity, gas and water 2.2 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10 Small and Medium Business West Kazakhstan region RK 4% 1% 7% 1% • SME share of the region's GRP decreased sharply in 2011 and became lower the average level in RK: % • The number of registered legal entities as of October 1, 2012 is 8 160. The SME number is 8 082. The structure of the enterprises number is close to the RK average level: 60 50 40 30.4 31.6 30 20 Small Medium 27.6 18.9 19.7 10 Large - 92% 20.3 33.4 95% 16.6 17.4 15.4 23.7 48.3 53.8 22.1 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 West Kazakhstan region RK 11 Interbudgetary Relations Budget revenues of West Kazakhstan region in 2011 amounted to 94.5 trillion Tenge, including 55.1 trillion Tenge of transfers from the national budget. Expenses amounted to 98.0 trillion Tenge, including 0.6 trillion Tenge of transfers to the national budget. Thus, the region is subventional: Name Cash execution Million Tenge Revenues including income transfers Expenses including transfers Budget deficit (surplus) 94 478.1 55 124.7 98 018.8 633.7 -3 540.8 120000 3000 Million Tenge 100000 80000 Receivables 1582 512 60000 426 95 -668 40000 2000 1840.6 -894 -1276 0 -857.4 2000 10467 9955 512 2001 20073 18491 1582 2002 22531 22436 95 2003 22328 22996 -668 2004 25160 26054 -894 2005 36796 38072 -1276 2006 44484 44058 426 0 2007 59764 57923 1841 -1000 2008 78390 74325 4 064, 1 -2000 2009 88365 89223 -857 2010 99206 102667 -3461 2011 94478 98019 -3541 -3000 0 -3460.8 -3540.7 -4000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Expenses and credits Deficit (-), surplus (+) 1000 20000 Revenues Costs and financing Deficit (-), surplus (+) 12 West Kazakhstan Region Development Program for 2011-2015 Main target indicators: Ensure the economic growth of the region in real terms to 112.2% in 2015 compared to the level at 2009; The share of manufacturing in GRP in 2015 shall be not less than 5.0%; The share of non-resource exports in total exports by 2015 shall be not less than 15.0%; The labor productivity in the manufacturing industry shall increase by 1.8 times of 2009 level; Reduction of energy intensity of GRP at least by 10%; Gas production rate shall be 103.8% in 2015 ; The production volume of construction materials in 2015 shall be 10,044 million Tenge, or more than level at 2009 by 69.7%; Increase GVA in agro industrial complex by 21% in 2015 compared to 2009; Increase the labor productivity in agriculture by 2 times in 2015 compared to 2009; Increase the share of SMEs in GRP to 15.7% in 2015 ; Increase export volume to $1463.6 million dollars in 2015; Life expectancy of the population in 2015 shall increase to 69.9 years; The coverage of pre-school to post-school education shall increase to 95% in 2015; Reduce the overall unemployment rate to 5.5% in 2015; The share of population with income below the minimum cost of living shall decrease to 8.1% in 2015; Reduction in total emissions of air pollutants in 2015 by 5.5% compared to 2009. 13