3.4. малый производственный бизнес россии

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3.4. SMALL MANUFACTURING BUSINESS: ANALYSIS OF BASIC
CONSISTENT PATTERNS AND FACTORS OF GROWTH
A.V. Gorlov, Candidate f Economics Sciences
Federal State Institution of Science Central
Economics and Mathematics Institute of
the Russian Academy of Sciences (CEMI RAS)
The article investigates the processes taking place in the Russian small manufacturing business. Considered the basic
characteristics and socio-economic functions of small manufacturing business. Analyzed the interaction of a small manufacturing business of Russia with environmental conditions, under which the implied macroeconomic factors influence its
development. Completed a statistical analysis, the results of which reflect the level of impact on the development of small
manufacturing business factors considered. The construction of developed and proposed multi-factors production functions of the Cobb-Douglas, describing the dependence of the output of a small manufacturing business from a mixed set
of included factors. Formulated and developed the basic scenarios the development of small manufacturing business.
Implemented predictive calculations of the dynamics of development of small manufacturing business by formulating
scenarios and identified, with the use of the method of Hurwitz, the most preferred scenarios of the development of small
manufacturing business in Russia for the planning period from 2013 to 2015 years.
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Keywords
Small manufacturing business; small manufacturing enterprise; system analysis; factors of development; external environment; gross output; correlation analysis; the production function of the Cobb-Douglas; retrospective calculations;
growth indexes; the scenario approach; forecasting; Hurwitz criterion.
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