2’2012 1998 1998 . 3.4. 2009 ., ( ) 2000 . [21]. 2008 . 1998 . - 1998 ., , ., . . . . 1998 . . , , , . - , , . 2003 . . ( ), ) . ( , ) ( 2003 . 5 2008 ., – - . . . , . , , ( ) , 2). ( , ), – - . , , , ( ( 2000- - ., , - ) . 1998 . ) ( , , . . – ( ) : , - . . , - . , ( , , - .), . 1 , ( ) - . . ? . 2 , , . , , « . ». - , [16, . 44-45]: – , . - . – ); / ( ). 1 2 , .), , : , ( ( , - : ; ; .). : , 0 , .), , , - ( - ); - , ( – . ( , - , . , . . . , - , [17; 20]: [16, . 44-45] – - [16, . 44-45] – 1. : 0 – 2 – 0 . 0 , ; 4 ; ; M1 – , 3 Cn – Cf – , - . . 1 : 0 ( ) . ( : , 0 . , , ; , ( ). ), , , . 1 0 ( Df D Df Dn , Df Cf C S (1) ). 0. Cf , M 0 Cf f Cn Cf M0 – Sa – (3) 0. ; D – Dn – « »( « ; - ») ( ; Df – 0. : [5, 15]: Sa , ) ; ( - , 0). , . [5], , , , ( ) » ( , « » , . « » « . ) - . – , . . , « ». , . - , ( ) ( , - , , , ) S Cf C f Cn Cf ( , (2) , ( . S – ; C – ., ), . ) - . ; 3 4 - ) [5, 15]: Cf M1 - « » » « [15]. , « » » , . « , [15]. [5]: 1 2’2012 St n Cf Cf Df Dn Df . - (4) . . , . , .1 , / , 1998 , 2009 . . , , 1998 - 2009 . , 5 - , . , 60,00% : 50,00% , , 40,00% / ; 30,00% - 20,00% . - 10,00% , 0,00% . [5] , ( . . 1. 1998 2009 . , , , ( ) - ) « . ( ) », « . » « , » - « - 0, . ». , , , . . , ( , . - . 12 ) , , , . , - , , , . , . - , . - . , . 1998 . , - . - . 1998 . - ( , : ), – , , , . - , . 5 , . ., 2 ( , ) . . , ( - ), . . , - , - . , - . , , . . – , . - , , , : . i 1 r . - : . , (5) r – i – - , ( , ; ; – . , , ), . , - , , 60,00% , . - 6 14 000 000 , 1998 - 2009 50,00% 12 000 000 40,00% 10 000 000 30,00% ( , ). - , 1998 . . , - , , , 8 000 000 20,00% 6 000 000 10,00% 4 000 000 0,00% -10,00% .9 8 .9 8 .9 9 .9 9 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1 .0 2 .0 2 .0 3 .0 3 .0 4 .0 5 .0 5 .0 6 .0 6 .0 7 .0 7 .0 8 .0 9 .0 9 , -20,00% 2 000 000 0 . – , . , , , . 2. . - . .2 - , 1998-2009 . . - , , . . 2000 . , 2001 . . , - , 6 - . 2001 . ( – , . , , 2007 . - ), . . 3 2’2012 . . - , . - . . (-0,0632) - . ( , [20]. 2000 . 2007 ., - : , -0,2845. , ) - . , , . , . - - . , , - . . , (28,45% - . ), . , - . , , (« - . »), . , . - , - , . . , , - . 1990- (5). .3 - , . [4]. , - - , . . , ) - , . , . - , . » , « , . . , , . . - . , ( . 1). . - , . , 7 - , , 0,7294. , 73% - . . 7 - . . , 4 , , - . . . , - ( ) (-0,656607346). rDRUB DRUB , / rDRUB DRUB Ed – (6) : rCrRUB CrRUB . / rCrRUB CrRUB Ed (7) , , , , 1998 - 2009 80,00% 70,00% 60,00% 50,00% 40,00% 30,00% 20,00% 10,00% 0,00% -10,00% ( ) - . 14 000 000 , .4 12 000 000 10 000 000 , . - 8 000 000 . 6 000 000 4 000 000 2 000 000 , 1998 - 2009 0 6,0000 5,0000 4,0000 3,0000 , 2,0000 1,0000 . 3. 0,0000 1 (1998-2009)8 , - - - , - . 4. 1 0,729425513 -0,656607346 - - ( - 0,729425513 1 ) ( -0,342222446 ), 1998-2009 . . , , -0,656607346 -0,342222446 . 1 , , - , . ( ) ( . , - 77, 181. , 192,0766, 114,8955. ). - , , ) ( , - , : – - . . , 8 , . - 5 2’2012 - « ) » ( . , , 10 ( 9 ) . , , , - ( ), . ( ( ( ) ). - . , - ), , - . , . - , - , - . - . , , , , , , - , , . 1998-2009 . ., , - , . , , , - . , . - , , - . – , . ( . ( ) . , , - , - , . LIBOR11, LIBID12, MosPrime13. . ( - . , . - , ) . . , , , « » - . ) , 0,8388. - - , .), )), 1. : - ( - : ; + ( - )= = + . . 2. = , : = , , . , 10 0, . , - 9 , . 11 – (related parties). , - , , . 6 . . ; 12 13 10 . - ; LIBOR , LIBOR . . . . , - , , . , , , , , . . , , , 19. Ize A., Levy-Yeyati E. Dollarization of Financial Intermediation: Causes and Policy Implications // IMF Working Paper, WP/98/28, 1998, March. 20. Mankiw N.Gr. Let’s Pass the Buck to Russia. Fortune, 1998, November, 9. 21. Savastano M. Dollarization in Latin America: Recent Evidence and Some Policy Issues // IMF Working Paper, WP/96/04, 1996, January. ; 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. [ ]/ . – 1998. – 2-3; 1999; 2010. – 1. URL: http://cbr.ru/publ/main.asp?Prtid=BBS [ ]/ . – 2000-2010. URL: http://cbr.ru/publ/main.asp?Prtid= Vestnik . [ ]/ . // . – 2004. – 3. – . 124-135. . [ ] / . // . .6: . – 2010. – 5. – . 24-31. . : , [ ] / . // . – 2011. – 1. – . 35-45. . [ ]/ . // XXI : . / . . .– .: , 2010. – . 4-26. [ ] / . – 2000-2010. URL:http://cbr.ru/analytics/bank_system [ ]: 2010 / . . . URL: http://www.gks.ru/ bgd/regl/b10_13/Main.htm [ ] : 2010 / . . URL: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/ regl/b10_11/Main.htm [ ] / . URL: http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=finr [ ] / . URL: http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=dfks [ ] / . URL: http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=macro 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. [ ]/ . URL: http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=pdko . [ ]/ . . . URL: http://www.gks.ru/dbscripts/Cbsd/DBInet.cgi . : [ ] / . // & . – 2005. – . – . 44-45. Chang R., Velasco A. Dollarization: analytical issues // NBER Working Paper, 2002, 8838. Havrylyshyn O. Dollarization in the Former Soviet Union: From Hysteria to Hysteresis // IMF Seminar Materials, 2003, January. Honohan P., Anqiing Sh. Deposit Dollarization and the Financial Sector in Emerging Economies // Development Research Group The World Bank, 2002. - ; ; ; . 1. ; ; ; ; ; . . . , - , . , , . . : ( ) ( . ). . - , . . - , . . , - . ., ., , . - . . . 3.4. DOLLARIZATION OF DEPOSITS AND CREDITS IN RUSSIA AND REAL INTEREST RATES D.A. Guseynov, Studying for Ph.D. Degree in Economics Lomonosov Moscow State University The paper considers the interconnection between deposit dollarization and credit dollarization processes which reflects one and the same dollarization process from the point of view of real economy and banking system. The dependence of dollarization of deposits and credits on real interest rates on deposits and loans is also analyzed. Thereto the influence of changes in real interest rates on dollarization indicators (namely, asset substitution rate (deposit dollarization indicator), credit dollarization rate, general dollarization rate) is examined in the case of Russia. Literature 1. Bank of Russia. Bulletin of Banking Statistics. 1998, 2-3; 1999 – 2010, 1. – http://cbr.ru/publ/main.asp?Prtid=BBS 2. Bank of Russia. Bulletin (Vestnik) of Bank of Russia. 2000 – 2010. – http://cbr.ru/publ/main.asp?Prtid=Vestnik 7 2’2012 3. Bank of Russia. Review of the Banking Sector of the Russian Federation. 2000 – 2010. –http://cbr.ru/analytics/bank_system 4. Bank of Russia. Inflation statistics. – http://cbr.ru/statistics/ ?Prtid=macro 5. Bank of Russia. Statistics of Money Aggregates. – http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=dfks 6. Bank of Russia. Statistics of Foreign Cash Flow through Authorized Banks. – http://cbr.ru/statistics/?Prtid=finr 7. Bank of Russia. Statistics of Deposits. – http://cbr.ru/statistics/ ?Prtid=pdko 8. Federal State Statistics Service. Russian Statistic Yearbook. 2010. – http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_13/Main.htm 9. Federal State Statistics Service. Russia in figures. 2010. – http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_11/Main.htm 10. Federal State Statistics Service. Central Statistic Database. Price Statistics. - http://www.gks.ru/dbscripts/Cbsd/DBInet.cgi 11. M.Y. Golovnin. Dollarization in Transition Economies of Russia and. East Central Europe // Problems of Forecasting. 2004. 3. P. 124-135. 12. D.A. Guseynov. Dollarization of National Economy and Money Functions // Bulletin of Moscow University, Economics Series, 2010, 5. P. 24-31. 13. D.A. Guseynov. Theoretical Aspects of Dollarization of National Economy // Trends of Development of the World Economy in the Beginning of the XXI Century: Collected Articles / Under Luchko M.V. edition – M.: MAKS Press, 2010. P. 4-26. 14. D.A. Guseynov. Dollarization: Nature, Formulas for Calculation and Measure Problems // Voprosy Novoy Economiki, 2011, 1. P. 35-45. 15. S. Heisen. Dollarization: Risk Control Is of a Key Importance – Finance & Development. 2005, March. P. 44-45. 16. Chang R., Velasco A. Dollarization: Analytical Issues // NBER Working Paper, 2002, 8838. 17. O. Havrylyshyn. Dollarization in the Former Soviet Union: From Hysteria to Hysteresis // IMF Seminar Materials, 2003, January. 18. P. Honohan, S. Anqiing. Deposit Dollarization and the Financial Sector in Emerging Economies // Development Research Group The World Bank, 2002. 19. A. Ize, Levy-Yeyati E. Dollarization of Financial Intermediation: Causes and Policy Implications // IMF Working Paper, WP/98/28, 1998, March. 20. N.G. Mankiw. Let’s Pass the Buck to Russia. Fortune, 1998, November, 9. 21. M. Savastano. Dollarization in Latin America: Recent Evidence and Some Policy Issues // IMF Working Paper, WP/96/04, 1996, January. Keywords Dollarization; official dollarization, full dollarization; semiofficial dollarization; unofficial dollarization; shadow dollarization; currency substitution; asset substitution; dollarization of deposits; dollarization of credits. 8